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Although the war has since served as justification for more domestic repression, it was not essential for this. The Russian public was ready to rally behind “victories,” but support for an actual war seemed thin in 2021. He heard daily from supporters of a tougher line against political opposition, and much more rarely from those who had doubts — or, at least, felt brave enough to air them. As economic professionals and political operatives were marginalised, Putin was increasingly surrounded by the third key faction within his regime — siloviki. Between 2015 and December 2021, the number of political prisoners in Russia jumped from 36 to 83, according to the Memorial Human Rights Center. And yet, in other ways Russia since the war seems very much the continuation of Russia in the four years preceding it. As noted, all independent media has been squelched and the Kremlin no longer pretends to tolerate genuine political opposition. A new law threatened those who merely called the “special military operation” a war with 15 years in jail. Discover content Before the Ukraine invasion, positive…
Thus, the war spurred and intensified the trend of recent years—regression towards a classic fear dictatorship. At the same time, surveys show that those who left have above average education and are among the country’s most active consumers, with incomes several times higher than the national average. Since the outbreak of the war, Russia has experienced two waves of emigration. Both lashed out at top generals for ordering a retreat from the city of Lyman in late September. Table of contents (52 chapters) We might not have a complete picture, but based on current reports there does not yet seem to have been a surge in state-ordered political murders. Among opposition politicians, the poisonings of Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza occurred before the latest international developments. A series of suspicious deaths have been reported within high business circles, possibly suggesting battles — under the cover of war — among security service factions and organised crime over control of rents. This remains quite different from the situation in many 20th century fear dictatorships, in which thousands — or even millions — of political…